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Whether Corbyn is about to win or lose, much of the media and private organisational space is loudly proudly saying he will definitely lose (and so on).   Share:  
Thrust of argument: As a scientist of the markets I know more than most that anyone dumb enough to be so certain in their predictions is entirely unreliable. Direction of resistance / implied resistance: And the cynic and scientist in me refuses to accept the apparently quite probable Corbyn Prime Ministership as real until there is visible evidence. It's not that there isn't already evidence, just that the media and so on have done their best to conceal what it shows, moreover maybe game players 'on both sides' have therefore been lying to polls and so on (and look at the polls, how unscientifically their claims are made).

 

 

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Removal of resistance: So I don't know. I know that the right thing for me to do is vote Labour, I know Labour will very probably win Putney, as the Labour vote will not be split but the Tory campaign has lurched rightwards to try and win back UKIP dissenters. In Putney, without a doubt, the odds are totally in Corbyn's favour. Moreover places like this are unknown to the world - ie the press hasn't mentioned them, and every effort has been made to just pretend it's not happening. Unification: Anyway, so as the chief scientist of Ra Ra El and its subsidiaries (eg TVhobo), I say this - I have no idea if he will win or not, but if he doesn't I will (a) not be hurt by it from a purely material perspective, (b) be saddened, deeply, for all the reasons mentioned time and again on this site (DO read it). Ironically those who hate me most in Britain, ie the white racists, will suffer a great deal, collectively, at the hands of vulture capitalism, which will accelerate to maximum speed if they manage to dispense, at least for now, with the threat of real democracy. So the ones who are trying to hurt ME by voting against Corbyn will only empower me and make my life better (the desire for a Britain where white people are majority non-racist and where I am not judged by my name is long dead. You're not going to make Britain like that in my lifetime, probability indicates. 1 in millions, the chances are. You are shit. Basically) whilst bringing certain harm and scarcity to their own descendants and friends.

But if Tony Blair ever said a good thing, just one good thing, it was that Britain needs a "can do" attitude. And with that in mind I have to admit I still think Corbyn will win. After all I'm standing in a former Tory constituency where the MP has run away and handed over to far right nutters, after losing almost all of her 10,000 vote lead. A constituency overflowing with deprived non white people, not just working class UKIPPERs. Plenty of Labour here, hence the possibility of its turning Labour now. So it's easy for me to see how high the real chances of a Labour win are - most of your pundits out there are not including the existence, needs or words of ANY of the Labour voters in Putney, when they give you their 'elite' assessments of the nation. Remember how fervently they said Corbyn would lose the leadership re-election, how fervently they said Labour would be reduced to a tiny minority, how afterwards they said "how come the polls were so wrong?" and then like goldfish didn't wait for an answer, and today repeat the same childish errors.

So no, I think on December 13th I will not be mourning the failure of the Corbyn movement to win its first major battle, really major, but in fact I will mourn the end of the post-big-bang unregulated financial domain in which, for now, I remain a 'top cornflake' - as far as skill goes, demonstrably. See, again, this point: 74.

Nonetheless, when a photon stream hits a reflective surface even if we know the percentage of photons which will reflect, ie the probability, we do not know which ones, neither before nor after, we cannot know, about any given photon, what will happen, ever. When I trade on the eurodollar even if I know that over the entire stream of trades there will be a specific profit level, give or take this or that, I can never know whether any given trade is going to win or lose, never. And people who pretend to know who will or won't be in Numero Dix later this month are the same as all the 'losers' who go into markets saying "I know I'll win" and lose. 70 to 80 percent of retail traders on spread betting sites are 'losers' overall, as the warnings forced by ESMA make it clear. This failure rate is not unique - across the financial sector the failure rate in the longrun is remarkably similar to that figure. Yet almost none of its workers does not sincerely believe that they, ultimately, know which trades are 'likely to win'. No trade is likely to win. A stream of trades is likely to generate a general profit level of x or y. But to imagine that you can predict, with any usefulness, the outcome of one particular trade - is to be western instead of intelligent. In this regard I would assert that George Soros, Max Keiser, Robert Shiller - are NOT westerners. Not by any means. And any means is what it's about, eh? Ask Malcolm.

Rumours via Tariq Ali that Thornberry is already out seeking to be the 'next Labour leader' makes me certain that I made no mistake at all in my use of her name in the numberwang doc when I did (see below). I never had any legitimate reason to remove her name from it and she has just burned her name into it with a branding iron!
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References:

http://opinion.tvhobo.com/owenjones_israel_numberwang.html
https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/12/11/ideology-or-popularity-how-will-britain-vote/

 

 

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Simple text version.

Whether Corbyn is about to win or lose, much of the media and private organisational space is loudly proudly saying he will definitely lose (and so on).

As a scientist of the markets I know more than most that anyone dumb enough to be so certain in their predictions is entirely unreliable.

And the cynic and scientist in me refuses to accept the apparently quite probable Corbyn Prime Ministership as real until there is visible evidence. It's not that there isn't already evidence, just that the media and so on have done their best to conceal what it shows, moreover maybe game players 'on both sides' have therefore been lying to polls and so on (and look at the polls, how unscientifically their claims are made).

So I don't know. I know that the right thing for me to do is vote Labour, I know Labour will very probably win Putney, as the Labour vote will not be split but the Tory campaign has lurched rightwards to try and win back UKIP dissenters. In Putney, without a doubt, the odds are totally in Corbyn's favour. Moreover places like this are unknown to the world - ie the press hasn't mentioned them, and every effort has been made to just pretend it's not happening.

Anyway, so as the chief scientist of Ra Ra El and its subsidiaries (eg TVhobo), I say this - I have no idea if he will win or not, but if he doesn't I will (a) not be hurt by it from a purely material perspective, (b) be saddened, deeply, for all the reasons mentioned time and again on this site (DO read it). Ironically those who hate me most in Britain, ie the white racists, will suffer a great deal, collectively, at the hands of vulture capitalism, which will accelerate to maximum speed if they manage to dispense, at least for now, with the threat of real democracy. So the ones who are trying to hurt ME by voting against Corbyn will only empower me and make my life better (the desire for a Britain where white people are majority non-racist and where I am not judged by my name is long dead. You're not going to make Britain like that in my lifetime, probability indicates. 1 in millions, the chances are. You are shit. Basically) whilst bringing certain harm and scarcity to their own descendants and friends.

But if Tony Blair ever said a good thing, just one good thing, it was that Britain needs a "can do" attitude. And with that in mind I have to admit I still think Corbyn will win. After all I'm standing in a former Tory constituency where the MP has run away and handed over to far right nutters, after losing almost all of her 10,000 vote lead. A constituency overflowing with deprived non white people, not just working class UKIPPERs. Plenty of Labour here, hence the possibility of its turning Labour now. So it's easy for me to see how high the real chances of a Labour win are - most of your pundits out there are not including the existence, needs or words of ANY of the Labour voters in Putney, when they give you their 'elite' assessments of the nation. Remember how fervently they said Corbyn would lose the leadership re-election, how fervently they said Labour would be reduced to a tiny minority, how afterwards they said "how come the polls were so wrong?" and then like goldfish didn't wait for an answer, and today repeat the same childish errors.

So no, I think on December 13th I will not be mourning the failure of the Corbyn movement to win its first major battle, really major, but in fact I will mourn the end of the post-big-bang unregulated financial domain in which, for now, I remain a 'top cornflake' - as far as skill goes, demonstrably. See, again, this point: 74.

Nonetheless, when a photon stream hits a reflective surface even if we know the percentage of photons which will reflect, ie the probability, we do not know which ones, neither before nor after, we cannot know, about any given photon, what will happen, ever. When I trade on the eurodollar even if I know that over the entire stream of trades there will be a specific profit level, give or take this or that, I can never know whether any given trade is going to win or lose, never. And people who pretend to know who will or won't be in Numero Dix later this month are the same as all the 'losers' who go into markets saying "I know I'll win" and lose. 70 to 80 percent of retail traders on spread betting sites are 'losers' overall, as the warnings forced by ESMA make it clear. This failure rate is not unique - across the financial sector the failure rate in the longrun is remarkably similar to that figure. Yet almost none of its workers does not sincerely believe that they, ultimately, know which trades are 'likely to win'. No trade is likely to win. A stream of trades is likely to generate a general profit level of x or y. But to imagine that you can predict, with any usefulness, the outcome of one particular trade - is to be western instead of intelligent. In this regard I would assert that George Soros, Max Keiser, Robert Shiller - are NOT westerners. Not by any means. And any means is what it's about, eh? Ask Malcolm.

Rumours via Tariq Ali that Thornberry is already out seeking to be the 'next Labour leader' makes me certain that I made no mistake at all in my use of her name in the numberwang doc when I did (see below). I never had any legitimate reason to remove her name from it and she has just burned her name into it with a branding iron!



http://opinion.tvhobo.com/owenjones_israel_numberwang.html
https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/12/11/ideology-or-popularity-how-will-britain-vote/